Demand atrophy creates fund in short supply
To at present the sale of building city drops ceaselessly, 4 are used in the report " turn " undertook an analysis to its.
Show in the report, above all, 2006 after second half of the year, commodity house price and earthy price pattern had risen fast, the rise of the rise of industry sales profit ratio and commodity house character begins to be out of line, the development means of this kind of drain the pond to get all the fish makes the consumption of consumer anticipates hair is rooted this turn. Next, second half of the year began 2007, economic boom glides, inflationary shadow did not go, make the moving setting hair of real-estate industry rooted this turn. Moreover, estate development company is opposite to market reaction logy, land is laid in and be in establish new area bigger, cash shedding balances pressure to also produce essential turn. Finally, macroscopical economy is basic the be issued to lower levels of the face, make the adjustment of real-estate industry periodic those who compare forecast is longer.
The report points out even, of the stock market and room city low fan make consumer purchasing power folds caustic at least 3 trillion yuan of above. "Demand is vacant and potential spread further as the aggravation of macroscopical economic situation.
The data that comes from national statistic bureau also shows, since this year, estate sale area appeared compared to the same period the fall of different level. Among them estate sale area will drop compared to the same period July 26.8% , annulus comparing drops 27.1% , for since 2008 the biggest drop. Trade the atrophy of the quantity gave real-estate industry to weigh pressure in order to sink from demand end.
Development business lacks cash generally
Because demand is atrophic, make have enough to meet need of estate market fund painful, development business was immersed in the hot water that lacks cash generally. Straight shout wants some development business " died yearningly " . And this report is to predict more, 2008 the financing gap of real-estate industry is 673 billion yuan.
The statistical number that issues according to report place, since 2008, development business fundses raised by oneself and development loan still has rapidder growth compared to the same period, the backwater of financing source amplitude of the others type not before. But to 2008 the 2nd quarter, grow rapid home to borrow money first quarter originally quick also atrophy, compared to the same period amplitude 0.5% , go with the amplitude photograph of early days 30%-40% very far. Subscription and imprest amplitude 6.6% , other fund amplitude 1.3% , also mix early days is far apart.
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